Helpful ReplyHot!BASEBALL 2019 - The Official Thread

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leethebard
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Re: BASEBALL 2019 - The Official Thread 2019/03/19 04:31:31 (permalink)
Yes, the massive use has altered the game in so many ways...many of them bad! I love the three batter rule!
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Re: BASEBALL 2019 - The Official Thread 2019/03/19 08:35:11 (permalink) ☄ Helpfulby JRPfeff 2019/03/19 09:33:49
phlmaestro
I don't think I've ever been happier with a rule change than when I read that MLB, starting in 2020, is going to mandate that relief pitchers face a minimum of three batters unless the inning ends sooner.

On the flip side, since a pitcher is going to be required to face 3 hitters instead of 1 I think it's only fair that an announced pinch-hitter must make a plate appearance:
 
2019: LH PH announced, LH reliever comes in, RH PH replaces LH PH.
2020: LH PH announced, LH reliever comes in, LH PH bats, RH PH can be used for batters #2 and/or #3 if desired.
 
While the official reason is to speed up the game it seems to me that this change will also benefit the offense, at least for the immediate future.
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Re: BASEBALL 2019 - The Official Thread 2019/03/19 10:12:26 (permalink)
ScreamingChicken
On the flip side, since a pitcher is going to be required to face 3 hitters instead of 1 I think it's only fair that an announced pinch-hitter must make a plate appearance:
 
2019: LH PH announced, LH reliever comes in, RH PH replaces LH PH.
2020: LH PH announced, LH reliever comes in, LH PH bats, RH PH can be used for batters #2 and/or #3 if desired.
 
While the official reason is to speed up the game it seems to me that this change will also benefit the offense, at least for the immediate future.



 
I have no problem with forcing the announced pinch-hitter to hit.
 
Someone else mentioned to me that he didn't like the fact that this would make it too easy to score runs. My response was that pitchers are throwing considerably harder than they did even a decade ago. There aren't enough balls put into play. I think a rule change that helps hitters at least a little is a good thing. However, if it turns out to be more than a little and teams are scoring runs galore, they'll have to revisit this. We'll see how it goes. I'm looking forward to the experiment.
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Re: BASEBALL 2019 - The Official Thread 2019/03/19 10:43:06 (permalink)
This might not be as big of a deal as some fear. My interpretation is that rule change would only force the pitcher to throw to two hitters. He could then throw an unhittable pitch to the third to count as "facing" that batter, and the manager could immediately bring in another reliever. Is that a correct assumption?
 
Frankly, it usually takes 2 or 3 batters to determine if a pitcher has his "stuff" in any game, so this only affects the uber-geeky analytics managers and not those who actually use their eyes to see what's happening on the field. Analytics-wise, they'll just punch a couple more buttons on their computers to determine the best pitcher to face the next 3 probable hitters - the computer will determine who they are, too.
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phlmaestro
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Re: BASEBALL 2019 - The Official Thread 2019/03/19 11:29:35 (permalink)
I'm just getting over the high of the Harper signing when the ultimate dream is pulled out from under Phillies fans.
 
I just read that Trout is signing a long-term extension with the Angels. He's from the Philly area and spends a lot of time back here when he's not playing (usually watching the Eagles or Sixers play). The hype to get him to come back here to play in the outfield with Harper had already begun.  Harper even mentioned recruiting him to come play here when his contract is up in two years.  I guess we can forget about that.
 
And Harper holding the record for the highest total contract looks like it's going to last all of a couple weeks. I read $430 over 12 years for Trout.  I'm not going to say anyone deserves that much money. But he certainly deserves to be the highest-paid player in the game.
post edited by phlmaestro - 2019/03/19 11:32:22
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MetroplexJim
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Re: BASEBALL 2019 - The Official Thread 2019/03/21 16:07:06 (permalink)
One sure-fire, can't miss prediction for 2019: 
the Yankees will break the record they set in 2018 for most home runs by a team in a season.
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leethebard
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Re: BASEBALL 2019 - The Official Thread 2019/03/21 21:06:01 (permalink)
MetroplexJim
One sure-fire, can't miss prediction for 2019: 
the Yankees will break the record they set in 2018 for most home runs by a team in a season.


I tend to agree. This is one powerful team
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Re: BASEBALL 2019 - The Official Thread 2019/03/21 21:32:43 (permalink) ☄ Helpfulby phlmaestro 2019/03/21 21:58:54
The Phillies best FA signing was Andrew McCutchen:  an AAV of $15MM for ages 32 - 34 of a gentleman who has never been "protected" in a MLB line-up; Cutch has always been 'pitched-around'.
 
For the first time in his career Cutch was 'protected' in his stint with the NYY and put up an OPS+ of 141.  With the Phillies he'll be followed by Segura, Harper, and Hoskins.
 
A HoF career is now back on track. 
 
And it could not happen to a more deserving kid.
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phlmaestro
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Re: BASEBALL 2019 - The Official Thread 2019/03/21 22:05:36 (permalink)
The fact that McCutchen is fundamentally sound and solid defensively is big for the Phillies. They've really struggled with defense and baserunning mistakes the past couple years. 
 
Actually, some people think Realmuto is their best acquisition of the off-season and he is also a gigantic defensive upgrade for them at catcher. They had the worst defensive catcher I've ever seen in the big-leagues by a wide margin last year in Alfaro. He has a tremendous arm, but couldn't catch or block the ball. It was embarrassing on a nightly basis. 
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Re: BASEBALL 2019 - The Official Thread 2019/03/26 23:39:37 (permalink)
phlmaestro
They had the worst defensive catcher I've ever seen in the big-leagues by a wide margin last year in Alfaro. He has a tremendous arm, but couldn't catch or block the ball. It was embarrassing on a nightly basis.

So he was the NL version of Gary Sanchez?
 
What a lousy break for Steven Souza, Jr. of Arizona.  Frankly, I'm surprised the mlb.com story about his knee injury (don't watch the video if you're on the squeamish side) didn't include the words "catastrophic" and/or "blowout"...he has a long recovery ahead and I hope he's able to come back.
post edited by ScreamingChicken - 2019/03/26 23:45:27
#40
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Re: BASEBALL 2019 - The Official Thread 2019/03/28 15:22:55 (permalink)
MetroplexJim
The Phillies best FA signing was Andrew McCutchen:  an AAV of $15MM for ages 32 - 34 of a gentleman who has never been "protected" in a MLB line-up; Cutch has always been 'pitched-around'.
 
For the first time in his career Cutch was 'protected' in his stint with the NYY and put up an OPS+ of 141.  With the Phillies he'll be followed by Segura, Harper, and Hoskins.
 
A HoF career is now back on track. 
 
And it could not happen to a more deserving kid.




He just homered in his first at-bat as a Phillie. 
post edited by phlmaestro - 2019/03/28 15:27:06
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Re: BASEBALL 2019 - The Official Thread 2019/03/28 22:16:29 (permalink)
At their current pace the Dodgers will hit 1296 HR for the season...I'm not sure they'll make it.
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Re: BASEBALL 2019 - The Official Thread 2019/04/10 08:10:25 (permalink)
#43
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Re: BASEBALL 2019 - The Official Thread 2019/04/10 11:32:27 (permalink)
It is a joke among we self important jerks to laugh about the hard core fans. When a Boston team wins, fans say, "We won", and when the Boston team stinks, "They lost". An awful lot of former fans for the Red Sox are now saying, "They lost" a lot.  I hope that they can do better, but I have not lost any sleep........At least at .250, they are not the worst team in baseball. 
 
post edited by tmiles - 2019/04/11 08:16:39
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Re: BASEBALL 2019 - The Official Thread 2019/05/08 10:18:02 (permalink)
For some reason far beyond my comprehension "my" Bucs traded Austin Meadows, along with Tyler Glasnow and Shane Baez (the Pirates' 2017 #1 draft pick!) for a few years of control of "could be, but never was" Chris Archer. 
 
  • Compare Meadows' development to that of Christian Yelich
  •  Compare the 25 y.o. Glasnow's 2019 to the 30 y.o. Archer's. 
 
This trade could well surpass the Cub's giving up Lou Brock for Ernie Broglio and/or the Reds giving up Frank Robinson for Milt Pappas.
 
And, BTW, "what's up" with the Pirates 'legendary' pitching coach Ray Searage?  Check what happened to the careers of Charlie Morton, Gerrit Cole, and Tyler Glasnow after they left his tutelage.
 
I can understand the Buc's low payroll, but this trade just freaking kills me.  Pirate fans have been told for years that Cole, Meadows, and Glasnow, along with #1's Taillon, Kevin Newman('15), Will Craig ('16), and Shane Baez ('17)  were the "new core". 
 
Now, save for Taillon, Newman, and Craig, they're all gone and all we have to show for them is Archer and a utility piece, Colin Moran.  All I can think to say (shout) is WTF!
 
#45
Ram4
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Re: BASEBALL 2019 - The Official Thread 2019/05/14 12:38:14 (permalink)
Well I for one don't feel bad for our NL Central rival Pirates.  Nice to see my Cubs rolling as we expected them to after a horrendous start.  Last week had them win 3 games with walk-off home runs and I was watching all of them on TV.  Taking 5 of 6 from the Cardinals and Brewers also felt great.  All this without a closer or setup man.  With the Cubs normally not so hot in cold April, the warm weather should only help the entire team.  And if Brandon Morrow can return healthy and in form, we'll have a top reliever once again.  My gut feeling is they will make a big move for a reliever like they did for Chapman in 2016.  Nice to see Kris Bryant getting back to his MVP caliber form too.
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Re: BASEBALL 2019 - The Official Thread 2019/05/17 08:39:39 (permalink)
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Re: BASEBALL 2019 - The Official Thread 2019/06/03 12:25:39 (permalink)
ScreamingChicken
At their current pace the Dodgers will hit 1296 HR for the season...I'm not sure they'll make it.



I just read that more home runs were hit in May than in any other month in the history of MLB.
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Re: BASEBALL 2019 - The Official Thread 2019/06/03 13:04:33 (permalink)
How does May stack up in the "most strikeouts in a month" category?
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Re: BASEBALL 2019 - The Official Thread 2019/06/03 15:28:43 (permalink)
ScreamingChicken
How does May stack up in the "most strikeouts in a month" category?


I'm not sure, but I know there were more strikeouts than hits in MLB over the course of a season for the first time ever in 2018. I have a feeling 2019 will be the second season that happens.
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MetroplexJim
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Re: BASEBALL 2019 - The Official Thread 2019/06/04 10:42:55 (permalink)
phlmaestro
ScreamingChicken
How does May stack up in the "most strikeouts in a month" category?


I'm not sure, but I know there were more strikeouts than hits in MLB over the course of a season for the first time ever in 2018. I have a feeling 2019 will be the second season that happens.



Don't forget that for the first 60 or so years of "the modern era" there were only 16 teams.
 
That is why "rate" stats are far more revealing than "counting" stats.
#51
saps
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Re: BASEBALL 2019 - The Official Thread 2019/06/04 15:02:40 (permalink)
 
Jim, how's Lewis Brinson doing?  And Christian Yelich?
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Re: BASEBALL 2019 - The Official Thread 2019/06/04 16:06:45 (permalink)
saps
 Jim, how's Lewis Brinson doing?  And Christian Yelich?



As of today, Mr. Yelich's OPS+ is a little more than four times that of Mr. Brinson's.
 
Indeed, the Brewers' acquisition of Mr. Yelich is ranking right up there with the Cards & Brock, the Orioles & F. Robinson, and (now) the Rays & Meadows / Glasnow.
#53
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Re: BASEBALL 2019 - The Official Thread 2019/06/04 17:49:42 (permalink)
Sorry.  I couldn't resist.  I do like a lot of your baseball takes. 
 
I'm not super happy with the role that analytics is taking in the game, as a primary rather than a supportive tool.  The strategy is diminishing, the skill diversity is shrinking, and the home run, once an exciting play, has become just ordinary and common.  I get that it's all about probabilities and they've been able to effectively drill down and weaponize the data, and that this appeals to the stats guys.  But the beauty of the game is slipping away.  It's not about getting a guy on base and moving him around.  No thrill of a Maury Wills or Lou Brock on first and seeing what they'll do.  There are very few characters and storylines in what was a multi-dimensional game.  And then the use of analytics to dismiss or reduce the accomplishments of past players leaves a bad taste in my mouth.  What used to be about a summer day and two aces going toe-to-toe on the mound has been replaced by launch angles and exit velocities.  There are individual games that are exciting, but the entire product is becoming less fun to watch.   The end of a close game-still always fun.  Getting there used to be more enjoyable.
 
It's like basketball- the game was fun when they'd work it into a big guy, or then kick it out for a jumper, or an epic drive down the lane and play some lockdown defense. Now, it's mostly just run up and launch a three.   Rebound.  Outlet.  Three attempt.  Rinse and repeat.  Boring.  They've become so good at it and their range has increased they've actually taken the drama out of it.  Years ago, a guy like Zion Williamson coming into the NBA would be a huge deal.  He'll be effective, but he's a first overall pick with a glaring weakness- he can't shoot the three.  Again, the ends of close games are fun.  But getting there is just mostly target practice and contingent on how many threes are made.
 
Back to baseball, all of the entertaining managers have disappeared.  Did you enjoy watching Rocco Baldelli and Kevin Cash match wits as two of the top AL teams squared off last weekend?  My farts have generated more interest and opinion (mostly negative, I'm told).  I'm not even sure what these two guys do or if they are actually human.  My understanding is that on some teams, the analytics guys go straight to the players.  Manager salaries are going down as strategy takes a back seat to the three true outcomes of baseball:  Walk, Strikeout, Home Run.  The beauty and pageantry and memories of the game were painted in a variety of colors, and now mostly black-and-white.
 
I was watching some old video of Earl Weaver the other night.  That guy was hilarious and relentless.  You won't see that again.  Right or wrong, it was great.  This society wouldn't stand for it anyway anymore.  You won't see the nightmare of a Rickey Henderson terrorizing a pitcher on the base paths, or the hustle of a Pete Rose to get one extra base- need to protect that ACL and there's no use in risking getting thrown out when the data says the next guy up is due for a home run.  You will see plenty of balls hit high and far, plenty of jogging around the bases, and lots of strikeouts.  The rare triple becomes more rare.  Pitchers will probably have ear buds in at some point and be told by some PhD in a lab what pitch to throw next.  Do we really need human umpires anymore, with video replay and a CGI strike zone that eliminates all questions to .001"?  Don't like where it is now, hate where it's going.  Glad we have YouTube to see some old games and situations.  And yet I still watch and cheer for the Cubs and Twins.  But not the White Sox.  Because whether it's old baseball or new analytics, no one cares about the White Sox.  They can't even garner dislike.  No one cares.  They're like a sprig of parsley pushed aside on a plate.
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ScreamingChicken
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Re: BASEBALL 2019 - The Official Thread 2019/06/12 13:21:37 (permalink)
MetroplexJim
For some reason far beyond my comprehension "my" Bucs traded Austin Meadows, along with Tyler Glasnow and Shane Baez (the Pirates' 2017 #1 draft pick!) for a few years of control of "could be, but never was" Chris Archer. 
 
  • Compare Meadows' development to that of Christian Yelich
  •  Compare the 25 y.o. Glasnow's 2019 to the 30 y.o. Archer's. 
 
This trade could well surpass the Cub's giving up Lou Brock for Ernie Broglio and/or the Reds giving up Frank Robinson for Milt Pappas.

https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2840629-1-year-later-mlb-trade-disaster-looks-like-a-colossal-disaster?utm_source=cnn.com&utm_campaign=editorial&utm_medium=referral
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JRPfeff
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Re: BASEBALL 2019 - The Official Thread 2019/06/12 15:38:49 (permalink)
That was just damn mean SC.
 
Any truth to rumor of name change to Pittsburgh Browns?
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JRPfeff
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Re: BASEBALL 2019 - The Official Thread 2019/06/13 09:15:28 (permalink)
These trades are not all one-sided.
 
One of the prospects in the Christian Yelich trade had a dazzling debut for the Marlins, shutting out the Cardinals
 
The Christian Yelich trade will forever live as one of the great transactions in Brewers history, but the Marlins may still get some positive returns on the deal. 
 
And in the short term, that's even more good news for the Brewers, since it came at the expense of the rival St. Louis Cardinals. 
 
Jordan Yamamoto, one of four players dealt to Miami for Yelich on Jan. 25, 2018, made his Major League debut Wednesday and shut out the Cardinals in a 9-0 blowout. Yamamoto worked seven innings, allowed three hits and two walks with five strikeouts, and even collected his first big-league RBI.
post edited by JRPfeff - 2019/06/13 09:17:02
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ScreamingChicken
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Re: BASEBALL 2019 - The Official Thread 2019/06/13 12:55:37 (permalink)
Well, so far he's the next Jeff Pico...
post edited by ScreamingChicken - 2019/06/13 13:21:36
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MetroplexJim
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Re: BASEBALL 2019 - The Official Thread 2019/06/15 13:25:46 (permalink)
To me, one of the more obvious off-season moves was for the Astros to have signed Nelson Cruz.
 
They didn't; here's why (OMG).
#59
cavandre
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Re: BASEBALL 2019 - The Official Thread 2019/07/01 15:33:29 (permalink)
While in London, were the Yanks & Red Sox playing some form of cricket?
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